How to read the card

Anatomy of a Pick

Quick visual reference for every badge, bar, and number on a Sniper's Hub card.

Tracked bets · move the record

Moneylines (model edge, sized by tier) and Short-Favorites (trend heuristic, flat stake). These are the only picks that move our units & W/L track record.

Informational · NOT bets

Hit Suggestions and HR Candidates are surfaced for context only — bet them at your discretion. They are excluded from units and the tracked record.

Sample pick card · with labels

#01

AZ Moneyline

+22.0%

AZ @ TEX-120·BetMGM

Edge

Model Confidence77%

A-tier3.0uW +2.50u

Each piece explained below ↓

The 7 things on every pick

Edge %

+22.0%

Model's true probability minus book's implied. Bigger = better. Thresholds vary by market (see 'What gets on the card').

Odds

-150+135

−150 = risk 150 to win 100. +135 = risk 100 to win 135.

Sportsbook

DraftKings · FanDuel · BetMGM

Caesars · BetRivers · ESPN BET

Hard Rock · Bally · BetParX

Fanatics

Best price shopped across our covered US sportsbooks (nationwide, not CO-only). Always shown for that exact pick.

Model Confidence

Confidence80%

True probability the model assigns. 80% = 80 of 100 trials hit.

Stake

C · 0.5uB · 1uA · 3uS · 2u

Units to bet (1u ≈ 1-2% of bankroll). Moneylines are tier-sized: A=3u, B=1u, C=0.5u. Short-Favs are a flat 2u.

Grade / Tier

A(75)B(62)C(38)

Moneylines: A (edge ≥21%) = 3u, B (≥9.5%) = 1u, C (≥2%) = 0.5u. Short-Favs use S+/S tiers at a flat 2u. Number = 0-100 conviction.

Outcome

W +1.27uL -1.50uP 0uV

W = win + profit. L = loss. P = push (refund). V = void (no action).

Special sections

Short-Fav · Tier S+ / S

TIERS+

TIERS

TIERA

Tracked moneyline lane from a trend heuristic, flat 2u. Tier reflects rolling-window backtest. Counts toward the record; conflict-guarded vs model moneylines on the same game.

Hit Suggestions

01A. Freeland+105

Info only — not a tracked bet

Informational only — NOT bets. Hitters the model likes to record a hit; excluded from units and the W/L record.

HR Candidates · Top 10

01S. Ohtani42.0%

⚠ Upper bound — not literal

Informational ranking only — NOT bets. Probabilities are upper bounds (model overconfident in the tail).

Game Status

FINAL 4-7IN PROGRESSPRE

Live MLB Stats API. FINAL = scored. PRE = upcoming. IN PROGRESS pulses.

Date Switcher

Wed14May

Tue13May

Mon12May

Pills above the hero. Click any past date to load that card.

What gets on the card

Moneylines · tracked

Filter: +111..+140 OR edge ≥ 16%

Cap: max 5/day

Note: ATH/BAL excluded · A/B/C → 3/1/0.5u

Short-Fav · tracked

Filter: -101 to -150 fav, trend-list team

Cap: max 3-4/day

Note: flat 2u · conflict-guarded

Hit Suggestions · info

Filter: edge ≥ 14%

Cap: max 8/day · 1 per game

Note: not a bet — informational

Not posted

Filter: Run Lines · Game/Team Totals

Cap: —

Note: lost money in audit · HR shown as info only

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Bet within your means. 1-800-GAMBLER. · Back to today's card